# Rival-Positive Credit Audit

Date: 2026-06-07

This is a current-state audit. It checks whether selected defeater rows currently give modest local positive support to `H-NATURALISM` where the datum is genuinely more expected under naturalism than under the relevant Christian/theist hypothesis.

It is not a before/after delta report. The v0.74 package evidence rows already contain the intended five H-NATURALISM additions, so this report should be read as present/matches/deferred status rather than "applied this run" status.

## Guardrails

- Answer rows were not scored.
- Resurrection alternatives were not routed to broad `H-NATURALISM`.
- Only high-confidence, low-risk global/theistic defeater rows are expected to carry current H-NATURALISM credit in v0.74.
- This diagnostic does not change BF values.

## Current Summary

- Current rows with H-NATURALISM credit: 5 (E-DEF-HIDDENNESS-NONRESISTANT-NONBELIEF, E-DEF-EVIL-HORRENDOUS-SUFFERING, E-DEF-EVIL-ANIMAL-SUFFERING-DEEP-TIME, E-DEF-PLURALISM-SINCERE-DISAGREEMENT, E-DEF-UNANSWERED-PRAYER-RELATIONAL-PRESSURE).
- Rows matching intended v0.74 recommendations: 5 (E-DEF-HIDDENNESS-NONRESISTANT-NONBELIEF, E-DEF-EVIL-HORRENDOUS-SUFFERING, E-DEF-EVIL-ANIMAL-SUFFERING-DEEP-TIME, E-DEF-PLURALISM-SINCERE-DISAGREEMENT, E-DEF-UNANSWERED-PRAYER-RELATIONAL-PRESSURE).
- Expected rows missing current H-NATURALISM credit: none.
- Recommended but deferred rows: E-DEF-CHURCH-SCANDAL-WITNESS-CREDIBILITY, E-DEF-HELL-JUDGMENT-PROPORTIONALITY, E-DEF-OT-VIOLENCE-CANONICAL-PRESSURE.

## Audited Rows

| evidence_id | title | H-NAT current | recommended | expected current | matches intended | current log10BF | current range | intended log10BF | intended range | confidence | needs source review | current state |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| E-DEF-HIDDENNESS-NONRESISTANT-NONBELIEF | Divine hiddenness and nonresistant nonbelief | yes | yes | yes | yes | 0.04 | 0.02 to 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.02 to 0.05 | high | no | present_matches_intended_recommendation |
| E-DEF-EVIL-HORRENDOUS-SUFFERING | Horrendous suffering and the goodness of God | yes | yes | yes | yes | 0.05 | 0.03 to 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.03 to 0.06 | high | no | present_matches_intended_recommendation |
| E-DEF-EVIL-ANIMAL-SUFFERING-DEEP-TIME | Animal suffering and deep-time predation | yes | yes | yes | yes | 0.04 | 0.02 to 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.02 to 0.05 | high | no | present_matches_intended_recommendation |
| E-DEF-PLURALISM-SINCERE-DISAGREEMENT | Religious pluralism and sincere disagreement | yes | yes | yes | yes | 0.03 | 0.01 to 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.01 to 0.04 | medium | no | present_matches_intended_recommendation |
| E-DEF-UNANSWERED-PRAYER-RELATIONAL-PRESSURE | Unanswered prayer and relational divine action | yes | yes | yes | yes | 0.03 | 0.01 to 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.01 to 0.04 | medium | no | present_matches_intended_recommendation |
| E-DEF-CHURCH-SCANDAL-WITNESS-CREDIBILITY | Church scandal and witness credibility | no | yes | no | no |  |  | 0.03 | 0.02 to 0.04 | low | yes | deferred_pending_source_or_scoring_review |
| E-DEF-HELL-JUDGMENT-PROPORTIONALITY | Hell, judgment, and moral proportionality | no | yes | no | no |  |  | 0.02 | 0.01 to 0.03 | low | yes | deferred_pending_source_or_scoring_review |
| E-DEF-OT-VIOLENCE-CANONICAL-PRESSURE | Old Testament violence and canonical moral pressure | no | yes | no | no |  |  | 0.02 | 0.01 to 0.03 | low | yes | deferred_pending_source_or_scoring_review |

## Current Raw Total

| hypothesis_id | current raw total |
| --- | --- |
| H-NATURALISM | 0.05 |

## Current Result Lenses

| lens | log10 | percent |
| --- | --- | --- |
| strict_audit_calculation | 0.352594 | 69.250948 |
| audit_guardrail_75_ceiling_stress_test | 0.283574 | 65.767567 |
| guided_staged_path | 1.437221 | 96.474732 |
| guided_90_carry_cap_sensitivity | 1.023093 | 91.339078 |
| full_signal_diagnostic | 4.708846 | 99.998045 |

## Row Rationales

### E-DEF-HIDDENNESS-NONRESISTANT-NONBELIEF

Sincere nonresistant nonbelief is modestly more expected if reality has no relational God seeking covenantal access, while hiddenness still does not prove naturalism or erase Christian answer paths.

Current state: present_matches_intended_recommendation.

### E-DEF-EVIL-HORRENDOUS-SUFFERING

Horrendous suffering is substantially more expected under unguided or impersonal reality than under claims of perfectly good providence, though naturalism still carries the moral-grounding burden.

Current state: present_matches_intended_recommendation.

### E-DEF-EVIL-ANIMAL-SUFFERING-DEEP-TIME

Deep-time predation and pre-human animal suffering are more expected on naturalistic evolutionary history than on simple providential accounts, while remaining only local pressure.

Current state: present_matches_intended_recommendation.

### E-DEF-PLURALISM-SINCERE-DISAGREEMENT

Wide sincere disagreement is mildly more expected if religion is substantially mediated by culture, cognition, and history, but it does not by itself adjudicate Christ or all theism.

Current state: present_matches_intended_recommendation.

### E-DEF-UNANSWERED-PRAYER-RELATIONAL-PRESSURE

Persistent unanswered prayer is mildly more expected if no relational divine agency is acting in response, while prayer should not be reduced to visible outcome control.

Current state: present_matches_intended_recommendation.

### E-DEF-CHURCH-SCANDAL-WITNESS-CREDIBILITY

Institutional scandal can be read as sociological and witness-credibility pressure, but the row is unweighted and still needs source review before any naturalism-positive score.

Current state: deferred_pending_source_or_scoring_review.

### E-DEF-HELL-JUDGMENT-PROPORTIONALITY

Judgment proportionality may mildly favor naturalistic accounts over some doctrinal formulations, but doctrinal variance and answer paths make scoring premature in this pass.

Current state: deferred_pending_source_or_scoring_review.

### E-DEF-OT-VIOLENCE-CANONICAL-PRESSURE

OT violence can function as cultural text-formation pressure, but the row needs finer source-role review before broad H-NATURALISM credit is added.

Current state: deferred_pending_source_or_scoring_review.
