Evidence Item - v0.7
Hallucination + Cognitive Dissonance as an Alternative
E-ALT-HALL-2
Evidence Item - v0.7
E-ALT-HALL-2
Visual overview: Hallucination and cognitive dissonance alternative visual overview

Datum: Social psychology shows that tightly bonded groups sometimes grow more convinced after disconfirming events.
| Hypothesis | log10BF | Min | Max | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
H-ALT-CONSPIRACY | 0 | -0.1 | 0.1 | Conspiracy posits deliberate deception; a hallucination route offers a non-deceptive explanation, keeping conspiracy near-neutral overall. |
H-ALT-HALLUCINATION | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.25 | Psychological mechanisms (dissonance, social identity) can plausibly sustain conviction after visionary experiences; steelman positive but conservative. |
H-ALT-LEGEND | 0 | -0.05 | 0.05 | Legendary accretion is a different pathway; hallucination dynamics neither strongly favor nor disfavor it. |
H-ALT-SWOON | 0 | -0.1 | 0.1 | A survival scenario is orthogonal to hallucination dynamics; no strong interaction expected. |
H-CHRIST-IDENTITY | 0 | -0.1 | 0.1 | Identity claims may be reinforced by group processes, but the hallucination model does not uniquely predict high Christological developments. |
H-RESURRECTION | -0.15 | -0.25 | -0.05 | If hallucination dynamics suffice, the need for a real resurrection diminishes; assign a modest negative band given acknowledged limits of the model. |
The Signal Evidence Dataset, "Hallucination + Cognitive Dissonance as an Alternative," Evidence ID: E-ALT-HALL-2, Version 0.7. Accessed [access date]. https://logos-signal.org/evidence/E-ALT-HALL-2/
This page is generated from the public evidence mirror without recalculating or changing scores.